short answer: I don't know
long answer:
I think you can apply
Archimedes's principle, which says "a body immersed in a fluid is buoyed up by a force equal to the weight of the displaced fluid." so the upwards force on the balloon is
F = m g
g is about 10 and m is the mass of the air the balloon "displaces" which is equal to the volume of the balloon multiplied by the density of the air:
F = p V g
V is the volume of the balloon which we can assume is constant in both conditions, as is g, so that just leaves the density of the air p, which can be rewritten in terms of pressure and temperature using the
ideal gas law:p = MP/(RT)
= constant x P/T
F = another constant x P/T
(P is pressure measured in pascals and T temperature in kelvin)
so if you make up some values for the pressure and temperature you could work out how much bigger/smaller the upwards force will be for one condition compared to the other
F1 = P1/P2 x T2/T1 x F2
(I'm ignoring the downwards force of the weight of the balloon because its the same in both conditions)
If the temperatures were more or less the same then the balloon will float better with high pressure but I don't know if that would be the case, or what typical values would be for each weather condition

*note* I do not know anything about weather so you are probably better off consulting google - maybe try searching for info about hot air balloons or something?